Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (2024)

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (1)

Ben Kenney

June 16, 2024 10:10 am CT

The release of the annual Phil Steele College Football Preview magazine marks an important milestone in the offseason cycle.

Many of the top metrics have already been released, most notably ESPN SP+ and FPI. But Phil Steele’s magazine hitting the shelves across the country means we’re inching closer to the season kicking off.

Related: Big Ten class of 2025 recruiting rankings after Wisconsin’s recent big-time commitments

That season kickoff in 2024 will see a brand new landscape from top to bottom. The old Power Five is now the Power Four after the offseason destruction of the Pac-12. Oregon, Washington, UCLA and USC are Big Ten members. Cal and Stanford are in the ACC. Utah and Colorado play in the Big 12. That conference realignment is in place while top programs Texas and Oklahoma move to the SEC.

The new structure should see the Big Ten and SEC become the sport’s premier powers with a large gap to the third conference.

Wisconsin’s place in that new structure is to be determined. The Badgers enter 2024 with more continuity after a disruptive offseason led to on-field struggles in 2023. The program hired Luke Fickell in November 2022 to reestablish its position toward the top of the Big Ten Conference. While his first season was a disappointment, he is still expected to make that happen.

As we enter the all-important second campaign for Fickell and his coaching staff, here is where Phil Steele forecasts the Badgers finishing in a crowded Big Ten landscape — plus our analysis of every team’s ranking:

18

Michigan State Spartans

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (2)

Michigan State’s head coach Jonathan Smith looks on during the Spring Showcase on Saturday, April 20, 2024, at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing. Nick King/Lansing State Journal-USA TODAY NETWORK

Schedule Ranking: No. 22 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 5
  • Defense: 10

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 1 (punter Ryan Eckley)

Michigan State has a bright future under head coach Jonathan Smith, but expecting a turn-around in Year 1 may be premature. The Spartans enter with a talented but inexperienced quarterback (Aidan Chiles) and a 24-person transfer class.

Turnover is a good thing entering a new coaching regime. But it usually doesn’t lead to immediate wins.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 12

Get more (Michigan State) news, analysis and opinions onSpartans Wire

17

Purdue Boilermakers

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (3)

Nov. 18, 2023; Evanston, Illinois; Purdue Boilermakers head coach Ryan Walters watches his team play against the Northwestern Wildcats in the fourth quarter at Ryan Field. Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 6 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 8
  • Defense: 6

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 1 (safety Dillon Thieneman)

Purdue is in a tough spot in the new Big Ten landscape. The elimination of the Big Ten West was a massive blow to the program’s year-in, year-out expectations. Ryan Walters has his hands full entering Year 2 at the helm.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 18

16

Northwestern Wildcats

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (4)

Nov. 4, 2023; Chicago, Illinois; Northwestern Wildcats head coach David Braun looks on during the first half against the Iowa Hawkeyes at Wrigley Field. David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 25 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 7
  • Defense: 8

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 1 (ILB Xander Mueller)

2023’s surprise team with an 8-5 final record should take a step back in 2024. The Wildcats still are not big players in the transfer portal, which should mean larger swings from year-to-year. That, and projected starting quarterback Brendan Sullivan transferred to Iowa during the spring. A winning record in 2024 would be a fantastic achievement.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 15

15

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (5)

Oct. 21, 2023; Iowa City, Iowa; Minnesota Golden Gophers head coach P.J. Fleck watches a replay against the Iowa Hawkeyes during the first quarter at Kinnick Stadium. Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 37 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 8
  • Defense: 8

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 3 (WR Daniel Jackson, OT Aireontae Ersery, K Dragan Kesich)

Minnesota may be at a crossroads under P.J. Fleck. 2023’s 5-7 regular season represented a clear slip from the program’s consistent performance. The new era of the Big Ten should add pressure onto what is an already-important season.

Football Championship Subdivision transfer QB Max Brosmer is the most important player to Minnesota’s success. If he hits, the Gophers could return to their 8-win pace.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 14

14

UCLA Bruins

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (6)

Feb 13, 2024; Los Angeles, California; UCLA Bruins athletic director Martin Jarmond, right, with new head football coach DeShaun Foster during a press conference at Pauley Pavilion. Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 2 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 7
  • Defense: 5

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 0

A common theme in 2024 is coaching turnover toward the bottom of the conference. Much of that turnover sees a bright outlook for the future, though scaled-back expectations in 2024. That’s the case with UCLA under DeShaun Foster. The program has one of the tougher schedules in the nation and needs to re-establish its identity after Chip Kelly left for the OC job at Ohio State.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 16

Get more (UCLA) news, analysis and opinions onUCLA Wire

13

Illinois Fighting Illini

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (7)

Oct. 29, 2022; Lincoln, Nebraska; Illinois Fighting Illini head coach Bret Bielema greets linebacker Tarique Barnes (8) on the sideline during the fourth quarter against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Memorial Stadium. Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 30 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 6
  • Defense: 7

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 0

2024 could be a defining season for Bret Bielema and the Illini after a down 2023 campaign. A finish above Purdue, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa and the other former Big Ten West programs would be a step back in the right direction, back toward their terrific 2022 form.

But a full breakout season is still unlikely with games against Michigan, Oregon and Penn State on the schedule.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 13

12

Indiana Hoosiers

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (8)

Indiana Hoosiers head coach Curt Cignetti looks on during the Indiana football spring game at Memorial Stadium on Thursday, April 18, 2024. Bobby Goddin/Herald-Times-USA TODAY NETWORK

Schedule Ranking: No. 68 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 10
  • Defense: 11

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 0

Curt Cignetti enters his first season at Indiana working on a program overhaul. He welcomed in a 31-person transfer class as a way to accelerate that process.

The large turnover is a good thing after a 3-9 2023 season. But it also could lead to a rough start to his tenure.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 17

11

Washington Huskies

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (9)

Dec. 1, 2023; Las Vegas, Nevada; Washington Huskies mascot Harry the Husky and cheerleaders pose after the Pac-12 Championship game against the Oregon Ducks at Allegiant Stadium. Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 21 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 2
  • Defense: 4

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 0

No team experienced more turnover year-to-year than the Washington Huskies. Head coach Kalen DeBoer left for Alabama after the program’s national championship loss to Michigan. His departure led to the Huskies returning only 36% of their production (No. 130 in the nation).

The future is bright under new head coach Jedd Fisch. But I’d pump the brakes entering 2024.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 9

Get more (Washington) news, analysis and opinions on Huskies Wire

10

Maryland Terrapins

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (10)

Oct. 28, 2023; Evanston, Illinois; Maryland Terrapins head coach Mike Locksley (center) on the sidelines during the second half at Ryan Field. David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 34 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 4
  • Defense: 8

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 1 (KR Braeden Wisloski)

It’s reasonable to expect Maryland to start the season 4-1 or 5-1 before struggling in October and November and finishing 7-5. That’s been the program’s path for nearly every season over the last half-decade.

But one big change: QB Taulia Tagovailoa graduated after last season. The Terrapins have a big question mark at quarterback, which should temper any expectations of a big step forward.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 10

9

Wisconsin Badgers

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (11)

Oct. 14, 2023; Madison, Wisconsin; Wisconsin Badgers head coach Luke Fickell leads the football team onto the field for warmups prior to the game against the Iowa Hawkeyes at Camp Randall Stadium. Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 20 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 7
  • Defense: 8

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 0

2024 is a critical season for Luke Fickell and his coaching staff. There is real reason for optimism, especially with the team’s productive transfer portal cycle and full offseason of continuity.

But the schedule is a real challenge. An 8-4 or 9-3 record would mark a significant step forward and best-case scenario.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 7

8

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (12)

Sept. 3, 2023; Piscataway, New Jersey; Rutgers Scarlet Knights head coach Greg Schiano before the game against the Northwestern Wildcats at SHI Stadium. Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 61 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 8
  • Defense: 8

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 1 (RB Kyle Monangai)

Rutgers has one of the lightest schedules in the conference in 2024. It also returns most of the production from a 2023 team that went 7-5.

This could be the best year for Rutgers football since its 8-5 record in 2014.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 11

Get more (Rutgers) news, analysis and opinions onRutgers Wire

7

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (13)

Nov. 11, 2023; Lincoln, Nebraska; Nebraska Cornhuskers head coach Matt Rhule during the third quarter against the Maryland Terrapins at Memorial Stadium. Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 50 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 9
  • Defense: 8

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 0

The stars are beginning to align for Nebraska under Matt Rhule. The team returns most of what was a terrific defense in 2023, plus welcomes in five-star quarterback Dylan Raiola.

The Cornhuskers could contend for the conference crown if the young signal-caller hits immediately.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 6

Get more (Nebraska) news, analysis and opinions onCornhuskers Wire

6

USC Trojans

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (14)

Oct. 28, 2023; Berkeley, California; USC Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley reacts after a penalty during the third quarter against the California Golden Bears at California Memorial Stadium. Darren Yamash*ta-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 3 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 5
  • Defense: 9

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 1 (PR Zachariah Branch)

No team is more interesting entering 2024 than USC. It went 8-5 in 2023 and enters the Big Ten with a revamped defensive approach, but also does so without Caleb Williams at quarterback. The Trojans should be able to score, but there’s a real question if the program’s lack of defense will keep it from contending in the new landscape.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 5

Get more (USC) news, analysis and opinions on Trojans Wire

5

Iowa Hawkeyes

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (15)

Oct. 14, 2023; Madison, Wisconsin; Iowa Hawkeyes head coach Kirk Ferentz looks on during warmups prior to the game against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium. Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 47 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 10
  • Defense: 8

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 3 (C Logan Jones, ILB Zay Higgins, ILB Nick Jackson)

Iowa finally reworked its offense after yet another 10-win season in 2023. It hired former Packers assistant Tim Lester as offensive coordinator with a hope his new-age approach can keep the Hawkeyes toward the top of the conference pecking order.

Defense and special teams will be fantastic as always. Then what if the Hawkeyes start playing offense again?

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 8

Get more (Iowa) news, analysis and opinions on Hawkeyes Wire

4

Michigan Wolverines

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (16)

Michigan head coach Sherrone Moore watches a play during the second half of the spring game at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor on Saturday, April 20, 2024. Junfu Han-USA TODAY NETWORK

Schedule Ranking: No. 15 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 2
  • Defense: 5

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 5 (TE Colston Loveland, DT Mason Graham, LB Jaishawn Barham, CB Will Johnson, LS William Wagner)

It’s hard to ignore Michigan entering 2024 after a program-best 15-0 and national championship-winning 2023 season. But a new head coach in Sherrone Moore and heavy turnover on both sides of the ball should have expectations tempered a bit. That means the Wolverines should still win 8-9 games, just maybe not another Big Ten title.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 4

Get more (Michigan) news, analysis and opinions on Wolverines Wire

3

Penn State Nittany Lions

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (17)

Dec. 30, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia; Penn State Nittany Lions head coach James Franklin on the sidelines against the Mississippi Rebels during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 49 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 6
  • Defense: 7

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 2 (OG Sal Wormley, DE Abdul Carter)

It feels like a broken record to say this could be the year for Penn State. But it could be, especially with the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff.

Much lands at the feet of former five-star QB Drew Allar. If he ascends, the Nittany Lions could compete for the conference.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 3

Get more (Penn State) news, analysis and opinions on Nittany Lions Wire

2

Oregon Ducks

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (18)

Sept. 30, 2023; Stanford, California; Oregon Ducks head coach Dan Lanning walks on the field before the game against the Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium. Darren Yamash*ta-USA TODAY Sports

Schedule Ranking: No. 41 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 8
  • Defense: 9

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 3 (QB Dillon Gabriel, WR Tez Johnson, OT Ajani Cornelius)

No former Pac-12 team is better equipped to win in the new Big Ten than Oregon. Head coach Dan Lanning has the program recruiting with the best in the country, plus has established a SEC-like physicality that not many others in the old Pac-12 could boast.

I’d look out for the Ducks in 2024. They’re legit national title contenders.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 1

Get more (Oregon) news, analysis and opinions on Ducks Wire

1

Ohio State Buckeyes

Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (19)

Dec. 29, 2023; Arlington, Texas; Ohio State Buckeyes head coach Ryan Day walks off the field after losing 14-3 to Missouri Tigers in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic at AT&T Stadium. Kyle Robertson/Columbus Dispatch-USA TODAY NETWORK

Schedule Ranking: No. 35 in nation

Returning Starters + Transfers:

  • Offense: 7
  • Defense: 9

Projected All-Big Ten First Team Players: 7 (RB TreVeyon Henderson, WR Emeka Egbuka, OG Donovan Jackson, DE J.T. Tuimoloau, DT Tyleik Williams, CB Denzel Burke, S Caleb Downs)

Michigan’s program turnover should play into Ohio State’s hands in 2024. The Buckeyes had one of the best transfer cycles of any program, and welcome back a significant core from what was another good team in 2023.

Ohio State vs. Oregon on Oct. 12 should be the preview of the 2024 Big Ten Championship.

Badgers Wire Power Ranking: No. 2

Get more (Ohio State) news, analysis and opinions on Buckeyes Wire

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Phil Steele unveils 2024 Big Ten power rankings, season preview (2024)
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