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Sen. Ron Johnson and party chairman Brian Schimming have urged supporters to their vote by using mail-in ballots or early voting locations. Trump, however, taken the same tone, continuing to cast doubt in the integrity of absentee voting, espe- cially in Milwaukee. At his May 1 rally in Waukesha, Trump called for voting using paper unlike the several days of early, in-person absentee voting al- lowed under Wisconsin law. Michael Whatley, chairman of the Republican National Committee, was asked about those messages and whether he is pushing for early vot- ing on on May 5, 2024.
of all voters are going to be voting before Election Day this Whatley said, saying early voting would help the party be more and use its resources to reach people who yet voted. Whatley said the right message is en- couraging voters to make a plan to vote and stick to it, whether early vot- ing, absentee voting or going to the polls on Election Day. Absentee voting soared in the 2020 elections as the COVID-19 pandemic be- gan, and many voters continue to prefer it years later. why number for 2024 caught our eye. One note right the bat: impos- sible to predict exactly what the voting statistics will be in August or November.
We be rating claim, since those elections happened yet. But we can gauge whether estimate is on par, based on previous absentee voting data. Over half of voters cast ballots early in 2020 Asked where Whatley was drawing his estimate from, the RNC pointed us to national numbers from 2020. About 158 million people cast votes in the 2020 presidential election, accord- ing to a report from the Federal Election Commission. So the total number of voters looking at.
How many of them cast ballots early? About according to estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. That includes who voted by mail and who used early, in-person locations. In 2020, only voted at the polls on Election Day, according to the bu- reau. In 2016, it was It was even high- er in previous presidential cycles in 2012 and in 2008.
So, voting on Election Day was in a steady decline be- fore, but then saw a massive drop in 2020. Going back to estimate: Well over of voters used early vot- ing methods in 2020. not to say be the same in 2024, but get into that later. Before that, take a closer look at early voting numbers in 2020, using a Wisconsin Elections Commission report on these trends. In the April 2020 election, of voters in Wisconsin cast ballots by mail, and around used an early voting lo- cation.
Just over a quarter cast ballots at the polls on Election Day. In November 2020, voting at the polls increased back up to Around used mail-in ballots, and another used early voting locations. So, a slight dampening of the trend, even across 2020. But still a much picture than the elec- tions prior to 2020, when between and voted at the polls, rather than using early methods. A major question remains, and one that will provide context to claim: Did early voting stay popular af- ter 2020, and is it still popular in 2024? Early voting in three recent Wisconsin elections drops For the purposes of this fact-check, continue to look at Wisconsin elec- tions, especially since Republicans are focusing so much energy on early voting in the key battleground state.
In November 2022, when the gover- race was on the ballot, about of ballots were cast absentee, according to the state election spreadsheet. While much lower than 2020, that number was higher than similar elections before it, including in 2018 and in 2014. But absentee voting has trended downward in the last two years, accord- ing to commission data. In the April 2023 election, when a state Supreme Court seat was on the ballot, approxi- mately voted early. In the most recent election in Wis- consin, held in April, about voted early.
That ballot had the presidential primary, two statewide referendum questions and local races. All in all, early voting in these three elections was much lower than the peak in 2020, though none of them were presidential races. And the area is still slightly higher than pre-pandemic early voting levels. Our conclusion Whatley predicted that of all voters are going to be voting before Election Day this As we said in the beginning, im- possible to predict what could happen in November, and therefore verify claim that of voters will vote early. His claim might be a bit of a stretch.
In two of higher-turnout elections since 2020, early voting was about and Last month, it was also around Those presiden- tial elections, though. a drop from No- vember 2020, when nearly of bal- lots were cast early in Wisconsin. The pandemic was clearly a huge driver of absentee voting then, and it might not be the same this year. Finally, we should note that just looking at Wisconsin, and some states with high rates of mail-in voting could boost claim, which specify Wisconsin. Overall, it looks unlikely Wisconsin will shoot back up to over early vot- ing, though not impossible.
POLITIFACT A look at Wisconsin absentee voting trends Hope Karnopp Milwaukee Journal Sentinel USA TODAY NETWORK WISCONSIN In-person absentee voting, also known as early voting, takes place March 25 at the Capitol Drive Voting Center, 6001 W. Capitol in Milwaukee. MARK JOURNAL SENTINEL.
